Mrs. B. (mrs_bombadil) wrote in hallowoodsquare,
Mrs. B.
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Poll 1 of 5

The first set of predictive questions we have compiled (24 in all) falls under the overarching category of VOLDEMORT & HORCRUXES.

There are 4 subsections:

  1. The events of the night of 31 October 1981 (1 - 7)

  2. Identifying and locating the Horcruxes (8 - 13)

  3. The bond between Harry and Voldemort (14 - 21)

  4. Voldemort's plans and fate (22 - 24)


7 of the items have been designated as Key Questions and will each have two additional follow up queries for the purpose of assigning additional weighted point values. They ask you to assign the level of Difficulty of the prediction and the Importance it has to the final book and HP series as a whole.

The Difficulty scale is from 1 to 5 with:
1 = Very Easy
2 = Somewhat Easy
3 = Moderately Difficult
4 = Very Difficult
5 = Extremely Difficult


The Importance scale is from 1 to 5 with:
1 = Minimally Important
2 = Somewhat Important
3 = Definitely Important
4 = Very Important
5 = Crucial


Please note: some questions are dependent on other specific predictions being accurate. Questions of that sort, usually beginning "If...", will be thrown out if the condition turns out not to be true. If you don't believe the condition is true, then you may skip the question, but it is to your advantage to answer just in case you turn out to be wrong.


Poll #1014924 VOLDEMORT & HORCRUXES

1) Was Voldemort, in fact, intending to make, or in the process of making, a horcrux with Harry's murder?

Yes
86(86.0%)
No
14(14.0%)

2) If Voldemort did, in fact, intend to make, or was in the process of making, a horcrux with Harry's murder, is the intended object still located in the rubble?

Yes
37(37.4%)
No
62(62.6%)

3) Was Lily's sacrifice the only reason the AK rebounded?

Yes
73(73.0%)
No, there was other magic and/or circumstances in play
27(27.0%)

4) Referring only to the Potter's residence, was anyone else at Godric's Hollow during the murders? [1 point for each correct prediction*]

Snape, in real time
8(8.0%)
Pettigrew, in real time
22(22.0%)
Other Death Eater(s), in real time
2(2.0%)
Grown Harry, via time travel
2(2.0%)
Other time travelers
0(0.0%)
Somebody else
11(11.0%)
Nobody else
7(7.0%)

5) Where is Sirius's motorbike?

On the island from which Hagrid rescued Harry
13(13.0%)
In the Forbidden Forest
10(10.0%)
At #12 Grimmauld Place
6(6.0%)
Somewhere else
33(33.0%)
It will not be specified
38(38.0%)

6) Why did Lily have the opportunity to live? [Key Question]

Voldemort wanted to use her powers/knowledge in some fashion
26(26.0%)
Snape (or somebody else) made a deal to ensure her survival
51(51.0%)
Another reason
23(23.0%)

How difficult is the above question about the reason Lily had the opportunity to live?

Mean: 3.45 Median: 4 Std. Dev 0.94
1
3(3.0%)
2
13(13.0%)
3
30(30.0%)
4
44(44.0%)
5
10(10.0%)

How important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about the reason Lily had the opportunity to live?

Mean: 3.68 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.01
1
3(3.0%)
2
9(9.0%)
3
27(27.0%)
4
39(39.0%)
5
22(22.0%)

7) Did Pettigrew kill all those Muggles by himself or did he have assistance?

Yes, he acted individually
82(82.0%)
No, he had help
18(18.0%)

8) Is R.A.B. Regulus Black?

Yes
97(97.0%)
No
3(3.0%)

9) How did R.A.B. acquire the locket?

With help from Kreacher
59(59.0%)
With the assistance of another Death Eater
7(7.0%)
With the assistance of somebody else
16(16.0%)
Without assistance
12(12.0%)
It won't be specified
6(6.0%)

10) Where is the locket now? [Key Question]

#12 Grimmauld Place
22(22.0%)
Kreacher has it
21(21.0%)
Mundungus has it
24(24.0%)
Aberforth has it
17(17.0%)
Gringott's
4(4.0%)
Someplace else
12(12.0%)

How difficult is the above question about the location of the locket?

Mean: 3.32 Median: 3 Std. Dev 1.02
1
5(5.0%)
2
14(14.0%)
3
37(37.0%)
4
32(32.0%)
5
12(12.0%)

How important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about the location of the locket?

Mean: 4.13 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.03
1
2(2.0%)
2
5(5.1%)
3
19(19.4%)
4
24(24.5%)
5
48(49.0%)

11) Where is Hufflepuff's cup? [Key Question]

At Hogwarts
12(12.0%)
With a student descended from Hepzibah Smith
21(21.0%)
With a Ministry official descended from Hepzibah Smith
4(4.0%)
In a Gringott's vault
35(35.0%)
In another country outside the UK
5(5.0%)
Someplace else
23(23.0%)

How difficult is the above question about the location of the cup?

Mean: 4.05 Median: 4 Std. Dev 0.92
1
1(1.0%)
2
5(5.0%)
3
19(19.0%)
4
38(38.0%)
5
37(37.0%)

How important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about the location of the cup?

Mean: 3.84 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.06
1
2(2.0%)
2
9(9.1%)
3
26(26.3%)
4
28(28.3%)
5
34(34.3%)

12) Is Nagini a Horcrux?

Yes
49(49.0%)
No
51(51.0%)

13) Will Voldemort make, or attempt to make, another horcrux in DH?

Yes
21(21.0%)
No
79(79.0%)

14) What is the exact nature of the Harry/Voldemort link? [Key Question]

Simply what we know already: conferred powers and a psychic connection
15(15.0%)
Harry contains a portion of Voldemort's soul
34(34.0%)
Something more than what we know already but not an actual piece of soul
51(51.0%)

How difficult is the above question about the link between Harry and Voldemort?

Mean: 3.60 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.14
1
4(4.0%)
2
14(14.0%)
3
27(27.0%)
4
28(28.0%)
5
27(27.0%)

How important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about the link between Harry and Voldemort?

Mean: 4.70 Median: 5 Std. Dev 0.61
1
0(0.0%)
2
1(1.0%)
3
5(5.0%)
4
17(17.0%)
5
77(77.0%)

15) What is the consequence of Voldemort's use of Harry's blood and, therefore, the reason for DD's gleam of triumph? [Key Question, 1 point weighted values for each correct prediction*]

It magnifies their connection in what will be a useful way
1(1.0%)
It specifically makes Voldemort more vulnerable in some fashion
17(17.0%)
Voldemort being able to touch Harry will be a key to his defeat
3(3.0%)
It is part of the "ancient magic" that Voldemort foolishly forgets/ignores
8(8.0%)
Something else
2(2.0%)

How difficult is the above question about the gleam of triumph?

Mean: 3.94 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.04
1
3(3.0%)
2
6(6.1%)
3
21(21.2%)
4
33(33.3%)
5
36(36.4%)

How important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about the gleam of triumph?

Mean: 4.40 Median: 5 Std. Dev 0.76
1
0(0.0%)
2
1(1.0%)
3
14(14.0%)
4
29(29.0%)
5
56(56.0%)

16) Does Harry have any more of Voldemort's powers? If so, which one(s)? [1 point for each correct prediction*]

Legilimancy
10(10.0%)
Ability to possess others
1(1.0%)
He can activate the Death Eaters' dark marks
1(1.0%)
He can control the Death Eaters in some other fashion
3(3.0%)
Something else
22(22.0%)
Nothing else
36(36.0%)

17) If Harry is housing a piece of Voldemort's soul, how will it be removed? [Key Question]

Dementor's kiss
10(10.3%)
Some other, intentional magical spell
12(12.4%)
Only by Voldemort's volition
7(7.2%)
Through a journey to the land of the dead/beyond the veil from which Harry returns
30(30.9%)
In some other fashion
21(21.6%)
It cannot be removed, only destroyed, by Harry's permanent death
17(17.5%)

If it eventuates, how difficult is the above question about removing a piece of Voldemort's soul from Harry?

Mean: 4.06 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.01
1
2(2.1%)
2
8(8.2%)
3
11(11.3%)
4
37(38.1%)
5
39(40.2%)

If it eventuates, how important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about removing a piece of Voldemort's soul from Harry?

Mean: 4.64 Median: 5 Std. Dev 0.81
1
3(3.1%)
2
0(0.0%)
3
3(3.1%)
4
17(17.5%)
5
74(76.3%)

18) If Harry houses a fragment of Voldemort's soul, where is it located?

His scar
75(76.5%)
His head
5(5.1%)
His body in general
18(18.4%)

19) Will Voldemort again penetrate Harry's mind, or vice versa, either intentionally or accidentally?

Voldemort will enter Harry's mind
8(8.1%)
Harry will enter Voldemort's mind
14(14.1%)
They will both enter each other's minds as various times
69(69.7%)
Neither will
8(8.1%)

20) Will Voldemort again fully possess Harry?

Yes, Voldemort will possess Harry
11(11.1%)
No, Voldemort will not possess Harry
51(51.5%)
Actually, Harry will be the one to possess Voldemort
15(15.2%)
Neither will
22(22.2%)

21) Was there another reason that Dumbledore didn't try to kill Voldemort in the M.O.M. other than knowing he couldn't be killed?

None that will be specified
41(41.4%)
Yes, DD would never commit murder (as the sole additional reason) and will convey in some way to Harry that he mustn't either
13(13.1%)
Yes, DD planned for Voldemort's fate to be worse than death rather than death
18(18.2%)
Yes, for some other reason that will be specified
27(27.3%)

22) What will Voldemort do now? [1/2 point per correct prediction*]

Attempt to, or actually take over, Hogwarts
1(1.0%)
Attempt to, or actually take over, the Ministry of Magic
0(0.0%)
Attempt to acquire, or actually succeed in acquiring, the Sword of Gryffindor
1(1.0%)
Attempt to acquire, or actually succeed in acquiring, the Deathly Hallows (if this is different than horcruxes, or a subset of horcruxes)
0(0.0%)
Attempt to free, or succeed in freeing, the jailed DEs
3(3.0%)
Go immediately after Harry
1(1.0%)
Kill Draco
0(0.0%)

23) How will Voldemort be vanquished? [Key Question]

He will be killed by Harry
39(39.0%)
He will kill himself
2(2.0%)
He will be killed by some other human (wizard or muggle)
6(6.0%)
He will be killed by some other being or beast
0(0.0%)
He will be killed by some act of nature or other magical force
10(10.0%)
He will be relegated, alive, to a "fate worse than death" by suffering a dementor's kiss
11(11.0%)
He will be relegated, alive, to a "fate worse than death" as a ghost
3(3.0%)
He will be relegated, alive, to a "fate worse than death" in some other way
28(28.0%)
He will be redeemed
0(0.0%)
He won't be; he'll win
1(1.0%)

How difficult is the above question about the manner of Voldemort's defeat?

Mean: 3.85 Median: 4 Std. Dev 1.29
1
7(7.1%)
2
11(11.1%)
3
16(16.2%)
4
21(21.2%)
5
44(44.4%)

How important to book 7/the HP series is the above question about the manner of Voldemort's defeat?

Mean: 4.84 Median: 5 Std. Dev 0.46
1
0(0.0%)
2
0(0.0%)
3
4(4.0%)
4
8(8.0%)
5
88(88.0%)

24) What other reason did Voldemort have for returning to Hogwarts when he sought the D.A.D.A. post? [1 point for each correct prediction*]

To try to acquire Gryffindor's sword
3(3.0%)
Because he had an emotional desire to be there
3(3.0%)
To seek, and possibly harness the power of, other relics of interest
8(8.0%)
To command a different special power Hogwarts contains
0(0.0%)
Something else
4(4.0%)


*The contest rules are detailed on the community's Profile page -- please read them, especially as they explain the scoring system. If you have any questions about the rules or other logistics, please post a comment replying to the Welcome Message.

We encourage discussion in the comments, especially if you have a specific idea not covered in the polls.

Good luck!
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